Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Larkin 55.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 86.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Coyle
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
14
(32 meetings)
18
14
Coyle
Larkin
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
10
Coyle
Larkin
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
10
0
Coyle
Larkin
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Coyle
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
55.9% (943)
-2.9%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
57.4% (244)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
46.2% (106)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Coyle
Larkin
Home
54.5% (719)
56.0% (654)
Away
48.8% (758)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Coyle
Larkin
P1
51.1%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
55.9%
P3
53.3%
55.2%
OT
57.1%
64.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |