Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.7% vs Miller 59.4% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 94.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 58.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 82.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Coyle
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Coyle
Miller
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Miller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
0
Coyle
Miller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (798)
61.4% (526)
-9.0%
Power Play
44.1% (59)
65.3% (118)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
46.8% (62)
-1.1%
On power play, Miller has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Coyle is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Coyle shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Coyle
Miller
Home
49.0% (537)
61.8% (351)
Away
52.7% (495)
59.7% (355)
By Period
Coyle
Miller
P1
49.5%
58.5%
P2
49.7%
64.0%
P3
53.0%
59.6%
OT
45.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.8%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
62.0%▲
52.0%
50.8%
Miller
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |