Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Miller 54.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 87.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 63.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 68.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Coyle
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Coyle
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
55.7% (589)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
60.9% (138)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
47.2% (159)
+0.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Coyle
Miller
Home
53.3% (512)
56.1% (440)
Away
51.9% (507)
53.8% (446)
By Period
Coyle
Miller
P1
53.8%
52.3%
P2
47.8%
54.7%
P3
56.7%
57.2%
OT
38.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |