Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Miller 57.6% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 78.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 63.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 53.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Coyle
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Coyle
Miller
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
2
Coyle
Miller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Miller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Coyle
Miller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
58.2% (823)
-8.7%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
58.2% (165)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
58.9% (90)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Coyle
Miller
Home
47.4% (409)
59.1% (558)
Away
50.0% (360)
57.3% (520)
By Period
Coyle
Miller
P1
50.8%
60.7%
P2
46.0%
57.5%
P3
48.4%
56.1%
OT
64.3%
73.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |