Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Miller 53.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 76.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 88.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 76.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 86.4%
13.6%
86.4%
Coyle
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coyle
Miller
Last 7: Coyle 5-2 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Coyle
Miller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
1
Coyle
Miller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
55.5% (933)
-4.9%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
61.6% (73)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
45.8% (227)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Coyle
Miller
Home
51.8% (517)
53.5% (578)
Away
46.7% (583)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Coyle
Miller
P1
49.2%
58.3%
P2
52.8%
53.5%
P3
44.8%
50.1%
OT
54.5%
70.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |