Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Carter 48.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 66.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 60.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Coyle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coyle
Carter
Last 5: Coyle 3-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
48.5% (977)
-2.5%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
57.8% (128)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
40.7% (123)
+6.0%
On power play, Carter has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Coyle is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Coyle shoots right. Carter is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carter
Home
45.8% (251)
50.8% (597)
Away
45.0% (251)
46.8% (631)
By Period
Coyle
Carter
P1
49.7%
48.8%
P2
46.9%
48.0%
P3
39.8%
49.4%
OT
40.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |