Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Carter 56.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 80.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 88.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 80.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Coyle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Coyle
Carter
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
5
Coyle
Carter
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
5
Coyle
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
57.9% (885)
-7.3%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
61.7% (133)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
45.4% (119)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carter
Home
51.8% (517)
58.2% (543)
Away
46.7% (583)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Coyle
Carter
P1
49.2%
57.5%
P2
52.8%
57.1%
P3
44.8%
55.8%
OT
54.5%
68.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |