Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Carter 60.1% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 82.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 91.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 88.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 88.6%
11.4%
88.6%
Coyle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Coyle
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
65.6% (262)
-12.6%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
68.3% (63)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
50.5% (99)
-6.9%
On even strength, Carter has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carter
Home
54.5% (719)
64.3% (207)
Away
48.8% (758)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Coyle
Carter
P1
51.1%
65.3%
P2
50.0%
60.1%
P3
53.3%
63.8%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |