Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.4% vs Carter 51.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 80.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 81.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 81.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Coyle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Coyle
Carter
Last 5: Coyle 0-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Coyle
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Coyle
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (603)
49.9% (935)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.9% (55)
61.8% (157)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
46.7% (92)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Coyle is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Coyle shoots right. Carter is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carter
Home
45.6% (373)
52.4% (638)
Away
46.2% (329)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Coyle
Carter
P1
45.9%
49.6%
P2
46.4%
50.9%
P3
45.5%
53.0%
OT
40.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |