Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Toews 58.0% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 89.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 80.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 89.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.0%
13.0%
87.0%
Coyle
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Coyle
Toews
Last 8: Coyle 5-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
58.2% (1,200)
-12.2%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
62.8% (250)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
53.7% (123)
-7.0%
On power play, Toews has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Coyle is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Coyle shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Coyle
Toews
Home
45.8% (251)
59.8% (805)
Away
45.0% (251)
57.3% (768)
By Period
Coyle
Toews
P1
49.7%
60.2%
P2
46.9%
60.7%
P3
39.8%
55.9%
OT
40.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |