Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Toews 58.4% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 82.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 90.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 82.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 89.0%
11.0%
89.0%
Coyle
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Toews
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
58.0% (901)
-7.4%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
69.5% (226)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
51.7% (209)
-21.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Coyle
Toews
Home
51.8% (517)
59.3% (637)
Away
46.7% (583)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Coyle
Toews
P1
49.2%
61.5%
P2
52.8%
55.2%
P3
44.8%
60.0%
OT
54.5%
70.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |