Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Toews 61.9% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 66.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 61.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 50.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Coyle
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Toews
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Coyle
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Coyle
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
61.1% (650)
-8.4%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
71.9% (192)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
59.6% (99)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Coyle
Toews
Home
53.3% (512)
64.8% (560)
Away
51.9% (507)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Coyle
Toews
P1
53.8%
62.3%
P2
47.8%
63.9%
P3
56.7%
62.8%
OT
38.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |