Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Toews 60.3% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 53.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 86.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 74.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Coyle
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Coyle
Toews
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Coyle
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Coyle
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
62.5% (696)
-10.2%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
59.6% (141)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
46.9% (32)
-2.1%
On power play, Toews has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Coyle
Toews
Home
49.0% (537)
60.9% (435)
Away
52.1% (516)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Coyle
Toews
P1
48.7%
59.8%
P2
49.6%
65.7%
P3
53.1%
58.8%
OT
45.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |