Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Toews 54.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 75.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 90.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 74.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 83.2%
16.8%
83.2%
Coyle
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Toews
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Coyle
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (201)
54.8% (1,153)
-8.0%
Power Play
41.3% (46)
58.8% (233)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (166)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Coyle is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Toews is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Coyle
Toews
Home
46.3% (149)
58.7% (784)
Away
45.5% (99)
51.0% (768)
By Period
Coyle
Toews
P1
43.7%
54.0%
P2
46.3%
57.4%
P3
49.4%
52.6%
OT
25.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
43.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 8, 2017 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 8, 2017 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |