Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Coyle wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.4% vs Toews 56.0% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 90.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 84.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 81.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Coyle
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Coyle
Toews
Last 10: Coyle 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Coyle
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Coyle
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Coyle
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (603)
56.5% (1,310)
-10.2%
Power Play
50.9% (55)
59.7% (325)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
51.0% (245)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Coyle is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Coyle shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Coyle
Toews
Home
45.6% (373)
56.6% (927)
Away
46.2% (329)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Coyle
Toews
P1
45.9%
56.3%
P2
46.4%
55.8%
P3
45.5%
57.3%
OT
40.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |