Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 69.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Coyle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Coyle
Staal
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Coyle
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
56.3% (1,115)
-3.6%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
61.2% (67)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
52.1% (292)
-4.0%
On power play, Coyle has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Coyle
Staal
Home
53.3% (512)
58.3% (705)
Away
51.9% (507)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Coyle
Staal
P1
53.8%
54.5%
P2
47.8%
58.2%
P3
56.7%
54.1%
OT
38.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | OT | 02:09 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2023 | OT | 00:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | OT | 01:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |