Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Staal 57.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 62.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Coyle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Coyle
Staal
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
8
Coyle
Staal
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Coyle
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
58.9% (1,096)
-5.9%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
68.4% (57)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
51.8% (222)
-8.2%
On power play, Staal has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Coyle
Staal
Home
54.5% (719)
57.0% (646)
Away
48.8% (758)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Coyle
Staal
P1
51.1%
55.9%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
53.3%
62.0%
OT
57.1%
70.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |