Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Staal 54.6% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 54.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 61.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Coyle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Staal
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Coyle
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
56.1% (955)
-3.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
66.9% (142)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
43.0% (242)
+1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Coyle
Staal
Home
49.0% (537)
55.4% (663)
Away
52.1% (516)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Coyle
Staal
P1
48.7%
55.1%
P2
49.6%
54.7%
P3
53.1%
53.9%
OT
45.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |