Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.7% vs Rossi 49.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 58.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 81.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 63.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Coyle
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Rossi
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Coyle
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
Rossi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (952)
51.0% (510)
+1.5%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
34.2% (38)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (210)
37.0% (27)
+6.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Coyle is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (918).
Coyle shoots right. Rossi is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rossi
Home
49.4% (624)
49.1% (289)
Away
52.1% (610)
49.3% (286)
By Period
Coyle
Rossi
P1
49.9%
52.7%
P2
49.3%
45.5%
P3
53.0%
49.2%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
60.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Rossi
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |