Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.5%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Rossi 50.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 74.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 65.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 56.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Coyle
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Rossi
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Coyle
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
Rossi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
52.8% (400)
-0.5%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
36.1% (36)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
37.0% (27)
+7.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rossi
Home
49.0% (537)
50.0% (242)
Away
52.1% (516)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Coyle
Rossi
P1
48.7%
54.9%
P2
49.6%
48.7%
P3
53.1%
47.9%
OT
45.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |