Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.4%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Rossi 49.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 67.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 77.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Coyle
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Rossi
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Coyle
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
Rossi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
52.3% (283)
-0.7%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
36.4% (33)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
34.6% (26)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Coyle shoots right. Rossi is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rossi
Home
47.5% (394)
46.5% (157)
Away
52.8% (411)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Coyle
Rossi
P1
49.6%
56.0%
P2
48.9%
48.2%
P3
52.0%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |