Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Rossi 47.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 71.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 67.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 53.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Coyle
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Coyle
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Coyle
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
46.5% (879)
+3.0%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
48.6% (105)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
50.0% (8)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rossi
Home
47.4% (409)
47.5% (520)
Away
50.0% (360)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Coyle
Rossi
P1
50.8%
47.8%
P2
46.0%
44.2%
P3
48.4%
48.7%
OT
64.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |