Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Rossi 46.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 64.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 61.7%
Neutral zone
Rossi 53.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Coyle
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Coyle
Rossi
Last 9: Coyle 4-5 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
3
Coyle
Rossi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
Rossi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Coyle
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
47.0% (2,140)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
47.3% (188)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
34.1% (44)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rossi
Home
49.8% (4,835)
47.8% (1,207)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
45.7% (1,165)
By Period
Coyle
Rossi
P1
49.4%
47.3%
P2
48.3%
44.8%
P3
48.8%
48.3%
OT
49.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |