Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs McTavish 43.3% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 67.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 83.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 73.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Coyle
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Coyle
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Coyle
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
42.4% (675)
+10.3%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
40.5% (42)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
50.0% (8)
-1.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Coyle
McTavish
Home
53.3% (512)
41.9% (372)
Away
51.9% (507)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Coyle
McTavish
P1
53.8%
47.2%
P2
47.8%
36.2%
P3
56.7%
43.6%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |