Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McTavish 50.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 72.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 55.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Coyle
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coyle
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
51.1% (769)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
50.6% (178)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
28.6% (14)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Coyle
McTavish
Home
47.4% (409)
52.3% (461)
Away
50.0% (360)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Coyle
McTavish
P1
50.8%
51.5%
P2
46.0%
54.0%
P3
48.4%
47.1%
OT
64.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | OT | 01:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |