Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Cates 45.8% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Cates 58.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 59.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 57.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Coyle
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
44.3% (271)
+8.7%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
77.8% (18)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
31.7% (41)
+11.9%
On power play, Cates has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cates
Home
54.5% (719)
52.0% (148)
Away
48.8% (758)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Coyle
Cates
P1
51.1%
42.7%
P2
50.0%
42.9%
P3
53.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%