Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Cates 45.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 64.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 61.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 62.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Coyle
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Coyle
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
2
Coyle
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Coyle
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
46.7% (912)
+2.8%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
33.9% (56)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
35.0% (137)
+8.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cates
Home
47.4% (409)
46.1% (521)
Away
50.0% (360)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Coyle
Cates
P1
50.8%
48.0%
P2
46.0%
42.3%
P3
48.4%
44.3%
OT
64.3%
31.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Noah Cates |