Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Stastny 57.3% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 78.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 73.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 74.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Coyle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Coyle
Stastny
Last 6: Coyle 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Coyle
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Coyle
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
57.6% (959)
-11.0%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
60.8% (125)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
58.1% (74)
+31.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Coyle shoots right. Stastny is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stastny
Home
50.4% (367)
55.9% (590)
Away
42.5% (351)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Coyle
Stastny
P1
46.8%
59.6%
P2
47.9%
59.0%
P3
45.9%
55.3%
OT
14.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |