Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Stastny 56.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 76.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 78.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 58.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Coyle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Coyle
Stastny
Last 8: Coyle 3-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Coyle
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
57.5% (412)
-4.8%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
60.0% (65)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
44.4% (9)
+3.7%
On power play, Coyle has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stastny
Home
53.3% (512)
58.3% (276)
Away
51.9% (507)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Coyle
Stastny
P1
53.8%
63.7%
P2
47.8%
57.3%
P3
56.7%
50.4%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |