Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 36-22 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 82.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 72.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 75.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Coyle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
36
(58 meetings)
22
36
Coyle
Stastny
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
16
Coyle
Stastny
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
10
Coyle
Stastny
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
10
Coyle
Stastny
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
59.1% (1,994)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
52.9% (1,119)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stastny
Home
49.8% (4,835)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Coyle
Stastny
P1
49.4%
56.3%
P2
48.3%
55.4%
P3
48.8%
53.5%
OT
49.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |