Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Stastny 55.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 54.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 55.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 50.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Coyle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Coyle
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Coyle
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Coyle
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
59.2% (370)
-8.6%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
40.9% (44)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
51.7% (58)
-21.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stastny
Home
51.8% (517)
57.7% (215)
Away
46.7% (583)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Coyle
Stastny
P1
49.2%
57.7%
P2
52.8%
54.2%
P3
44.8%
57.7%
OT
54.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |