Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.8% vs Stastny 54.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 52.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 58.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 50.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Coyle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Coyle
Stastny
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Coyle
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (390)
54.8% (1,130)
-1.5%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
59.1% (235)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
49.3% (150)
-6.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Coyle is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Coyle shoots right. Stastny is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stastny
Home
49.5% (210)
55.5% (803)
Away
54.4% (250)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Coyle
Stastny
P1
53.3%
57.4%
P2
48.0%
52.5%
P3
55.7%
54.3%
OT
46.7%
69.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 2, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |