Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 65.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 65.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Coyle
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Coyle
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
53.1% (113)
-0.4%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
60.0% (10)
-11.9%
On power play, Carpenter has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Carpenter is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carpenter
Home
53.3% (512)
58.5% (65)
Away
51.9% (507)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Coyle
Carpenter
P1
53.8%
65.8%
P2
47.8%
50.0%
P3
56.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |