Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 24-16 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 69.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 69.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Coyle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
24
(40 meetings)
16
24
Coyle
Johansen
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
7
9
Coyle
Johansen
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
6
12
Coyle
Johansen
18 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Coyle
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
53.1% (11,017)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
56.2% (2,163)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
50.5% (978)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Coyle
Johansen
Home
49.8% (4,835)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Coyle
Johansen
P1
49.4%
53.2%
P2
48.3%
53.9%
P3
48.8%
52.8%
OT
49.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |