Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Johansen 58.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 84.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 63.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 61.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Coyle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Coyle
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
59.8% (625)
-7.1%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
58.2% (196)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
51.9% (27)
-3.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Coyle
Johansen
Home
53.3% (512)
60.3% (436)
Away
51.9% (507)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Coyle
Johansen
P1
53.8%
61.3%
P2
47.8%
60.4%
P3
56.7%
56.0%
OT
38.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |