Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Johansen 52.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 52.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 62.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Coyle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Coyle
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Coyle
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
49.4% (1,010)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
62.3% (236)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
67.2% (67)
-37.1%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Coyle
Johansen
Home
51.8% (517)
54.7% (655)
Away
46.7% (583)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Coyle
Johansen
P1
49.2%
52.2%
P2
52.8%
50.7%
P3
44.8%
54.8%
OT
54.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |