Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs McLeod 47.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 59.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 58.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Coyle
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Coyle
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Coyle
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Coyle
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
49.2% (796)
+3.1%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
44.8% (87)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
43.3% (263)
+1.5%
On even strength, Coyle has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Coyle
McLeod
Home
49.0% (537)
49.2% (575)
Away
52.1% (516)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Coyle
McLeod
P1
48.7%
52.8%
P2
49.6%
45.1%
P3
53.1%
45.6%
OT
45.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |