Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs McLeod 47.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 56.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 64.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Coyle
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coyle
McLeod
Last 7: Coyle 5-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Coyle
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
47.8% (448)
+2.8%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
48.1% (52)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
36.0% (25)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Coyle
McLeod
Home
51.8% (517)
46.6% (253)
Away
46.7% (583)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Coyle
McLeod
P1
49.2%
43.9%
P2
52.8%
45.9%
P3
44.8%
52.1%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |