Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.6%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McLeod 49.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 50.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Coyle
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Coyle
McLeod
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Coyle
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
3
Coyle
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
50.4% (3,345)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
51.0% (292)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
44.3% (635)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Coyle
McLeod
Home
49.8% (4,835)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Coyle
McLeod
P1
49.4%
50.8%
P2
48.3%
48.4%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
49.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |