Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McLeod 52.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Coyle
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Coyle
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Coyle
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
52.9% (904)
-3.4%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
57.6% (59)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
49.0% (241)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Coyle
McLeod
Home
47.4% (409)
51.8% (612)
Away
50.0% (360)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Coyle
McLeod
P1
50.8%
55.4%
P2
46.0%
50.8%
P3
48.4%
51.6%
OT
64.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |