Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.8% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 75.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 74.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 66.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Coyle
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coyle
O'Reilly
Last 5: Coyle 3-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Coyle
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (390)
60.3% (1,517)
-7.0%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
61.5% (387)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
55.0% (220)
-11.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coyle is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Coyle shoots right. O'Reilly is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Coyle
O'Reilly
Home
49.5% (210)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
54.4% (250)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Coyle
O'Reilly
P1
53.3%
56.8%
P2
48.0%
64.6%
P3
55.7%
58.5%
OT
46.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |