Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 53.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Coyle
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Coyle
O'Reilly
Last 9: Coyle 4-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Coyle
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
56.6% (1,064)
-6.0%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
60.4% (260)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
54.0% (261)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Coyle
O'Reilly
Home
51.8% (517)
54.9% (801)
Away
46.7% (583)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Coyle
O'Reilly
P1
49.2%
58.0%
P2
52.8%
56.7%
P3
44.8%
55.4%
OT
54.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |