Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.4% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 83.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 86.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 75.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Coyle
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Coyle
O'Reilly
Last 7: Coyle 1-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Coyle
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Coyle
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (603)
57.1% (1,367)
-10.8%
Power Play
50.9% (55)
59.4% (286)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
52.5% (257)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coyle is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Coyle shoots right. O'Reilly is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Coyle
O'Reilly
Home
45.6% (373)
59.2% (936)
Away
46.2% (329)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Coyle
O'Reilly
P1
45.9%
57.3%
P2
46.4%
57.5%
P3
45.5%
55.0%
OT
40.0%
71.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |