Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 79.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 86.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 78.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Coyle
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Coyle
O'Reilly
Last 5: Coyle 0-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Coyle
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Coyle
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (562)
57.3% (1,073)
-10.7%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
58.5% (258)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (68)
50.7% (225)
-8.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Coyle shoots right. O'Reilly is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Coyle
O'Reilly
Home
44.3% (332)
59.2% (765)
Away
48.8% (367)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Coyle
O'Reilly
P1
47.5%
55.6%
P2
47.5%
61.0%
P3
45.7%
52.3%
OT
35.7%
61.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |