Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Strome 45.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 57.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 79.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Coyle
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Strome
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
44.1% (749)
+6.5%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
46.2% (52)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
52.9% (17)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Coyle
Strome
Home
51.8% (517)
45.1% (441)
Away
46.7% (583)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Coyle
Strome
P1
49.2%
42.9%
P2
52.8%
44.4%
P3
44.8%
45.8%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |