Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Strome 44.4% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 69.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 68.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Coyle
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Coyle
Strome
Last 6: Coyle 3-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Coyle
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
43.0% (788)
+9.7%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
47.9% (96)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
50.0% (34)
-1.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Coyle
Strome
Home
53.3% (512)
42.6% (486)
Away
51.9% (507)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Coyle
Strome
P1
53.8%
41.0%
P2
47.8%
47.8%
P3
56.7%
42.1%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |