Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Strome 46.8% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 58.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 61.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Coyle
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
46.4% (371)
+6.6%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
43.3% (97)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
55.6% (18)
-12.0%
On power play, Coyle has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Strome is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Coyle
Strome
Home
54.5% (719)
47.6% (225)
Away
48.8% (758)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Coyle
Strome
P1
51.1%
45.4%
P2
50.0%
47.6%
P3
53.3%
45.2%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |