Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Johnston 50.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 52.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.3%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Coyle
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Coyle
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
50.7% (552)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
61.5% (13)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
43.5% (69)
+0.1%
On power play, Johnston has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Johnston is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Coyle
Johnston
Home
54.5% (719)
50.3% (342)
Away
48.8% (758)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Coyle
Johnston
P1
51.1%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
47.2%
P3
53.3%
49.4%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |