Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Johnston 48.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Coyle
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Coyle
Johnston
Last 7: Coyle 4-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Coyle
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
47.2% (458)
+4.4%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
50.9% (55)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
51.6% (31)
-5.0%
On power play, Johnston has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Coyle is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Coyle shoots right. Johnston is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Coyle
Johnston
Home
47.5% (394)
47.7% (243)
Away
52.8% (411)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Coyle
Johnston
P1
49.6%
48.0%
P2
48.9%
48.2%
P3
52.0%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |