Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Johnston 51.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 53.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 55.1%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Coyle
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Coyle
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Coyle
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
52.6% (696)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
52.3% (88)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
42.4% (125)
+1.0%
On even strength, Johnston has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Johnston is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Coyle
Johnston
Home
47.4% (409)
52.8% (458)
Away
50.0% (360)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Coyle
Johnston
P1
50.8%
48.9%
P2
46.0%
52.3%
P3
48.4%
51.4%
OT
64.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |