Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Kreider wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 43.3% vs Guentzel 46.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 50.8%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 63.6%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 52.5%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Kreider
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kreider
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kreider
1
0
Kreider
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (704)
46.3% (685)
-2.7%
Power Play
36.6% (71)
45.7% (291)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (32)
42.9% (42)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Kreider is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Kreider shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Kreider
Guentzel
Home
43.4% (417)
48.3% (544)
Away
41.5% (390)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Kreider
Guentzel
P1
41.3%
47.8%
P2
43.8%
45.2%
P3
43.0%
45.3%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Chris Kreider |